Vaprus Pärnu vs Nõmme United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
32.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
FCE
0 - 0
PAR
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 3
FLO
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
4 - 0
TAM
68%
18%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
FCP
1 - 1
PAR
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
6 - 2
VAN
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
TAM
0 - 5
NOM
23%
21%
56%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
MAA
0 - 2
NOM
52%
20%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
FLO
3 - 1
NOM
50%
21%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
NOM
3 - 4
FLO
57%
21%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
NOM
1 - 1
FCP
76%
14%
10%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |