Vaprus Pärnu vs Nomme Kalju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
72.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
17%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.7%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
7º
6º
49
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LEV
0 - 0
PAR
87%
10%
3%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LOG
6 - 0
PAR
13%
18%
69%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 2
PAR
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
TAM
1 - 0
PAR
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 2
TJK
21%
20%
60%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 0
KAL
18%
24%
58%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
KAL
0 - 0
TRA
71%
17%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
HJP
1 - 2
KAL
32%
22%
46%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
TAM
1 - 0
KAL
22%
22%
57%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 1
KAL
27%
23%
50%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |