Vaprus Pärnu vs Nomme Kalju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
66%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LEV
5 - 0
PAR
87%
10%
3%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
KUR
6 - 0
PAR
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 6
FLO
6%
14%
80%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
TRA
3 - 0
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
TUL
1 - 0
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
KAL
2 - 2
TJK
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
KAL
3 - 2
PAI
38%
25%
38%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FLO
2 - 0
KAL
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
KAL
0 - 3
KUR
84%
12%
5%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LEV
2 - 1
KAL
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |