Vaprus Pärnu vs Levadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
78.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.4%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
TJK
3 - 0
PAR
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 4
TAL
18%
21%
61%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
TUL
1 - 1
PAR
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
TAM
15%
20%
64%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
1 - 2
PAR
11%
13%
76%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LEV
6 - 1
TRA
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
LEV
0 - 1
TAM
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
KAL
1 - 0
LEV
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
LEV
4 - 0
PAI
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 1
LEV
46%
24%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |