Vaprus Pärnu vs Kuressaare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
57.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2018 |
TUL
2 - 1
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PAI
3 - 2
PAR
90%
7%
3%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 4
TIN
10%
19%
71%
|
27 | 68 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
TAM
2 - 1
PAR
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FLO
3 - 0
PAR
90%
8%
2%
|
27 | 75 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 5
KUR
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
KUR
1 - 0
TAL
29%
21%
50%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
RAK
3 - 0
KUR
42%
23%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
KUR
0 - 1
MAA
40%
22%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
KUR
0 - 2
WEL
89%
8%
3%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -1 |