Vaprus Pärnu II vs Paide III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
70.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 2
PAR
52%
20%
28%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 2
TJK
39%
21%
40%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
TUL
4 - 4
PAR
63%
18%
20%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
5 - 0
LAH
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +3 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
TAB
2 - 1
PAR
88%
8%
4%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
PAI
3 - 1
TJK
84%
11%
5%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
PAI
4 - 3
LAH
85%
10%
4%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
RAP
1 - 1
PAI
8%
19%
73%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VJK
2 - 1
PAI
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
PAI
3 - 1
OTE
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | -1 |