Segunda Estonia Sub 19 Normal Season Round 2

JK Vaprus U19 vs Trans Narva U19 analysis

JK Vaprus U19 Trans Narva U19
42 ELO 42
2.1% Tilt 1%
7914º General ELO ranking 4771º
49º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
52.5%
JK Vaprus U19
22.5%
Draw
25%
Trans Narva U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
JK Vaprus U19
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25%
Win probability
Trans Narva U19
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
JK Vaprus U19
-36%
+18%
Trans Narva U19

Points and table prediction

JK Vaprus U19
Their league position
Trans Narva U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
24
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Trans Narva U19
24
30
85%
Ida-Virumaa U19
21
27
85%
Paide U19
16
19
89%
Laanemaa U19
14
17
66%
Nomme Kalju U19
16
16
77%
JK Vaprus U19
14
14
94.5%
FC Helios Voru U19
12
12
94.5%
Kohtla-Järve Storm U19
11
11
100%
Legion U19
10
10
100%
Helios Tartu U19
10º
3
3
10º
84%
FC Flora U19
11º
0
1
11º
84%
Expected probabilities
JK Vaprus U19
Trans Narva U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

JK Vaprus U19
Trans Narva U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

JK Vaprus U19
JK Vaprus U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2023
FLO
FC Flora U19
0 - 6
JK Vaprus U19
PJK
22%
20%
58%
43 30 13 0
27 Sep. 2017
PJK
JK Vaprus U19
9 - 0
Laanemaa U19
LJK
86%
9%
5%
43 26 17 0
20 Sep. 2017
PJK
Poltsamaa U19
1 - 8
JK Vaprus U19
PJK
17%
18%
65%
41 27 14 +2
06 Sep. 2017
PJK
JK Vaprus U19
6 - 0
Tulevik U19
TUL
75%
14%
11%
42 32 10 -1
30 Aug. 2017
LJK
Laanemaa U19
1 - 6
JK Vaprus U19
PJK
16%
18%
65%
41 26 15 +1

Matches

Trans Narva U19
Trans Narva U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2023
JKN
Trans Narva U19
1 - 0
Paide U19
PAI
54%
20%
26%
39 39 0 0
13 Sep. 2022
JKN
Trans Narva U19
2 - 1
Legion U19
LEG
32%
23%
45%
38 44 6 +1
06 Sep. 2022
FCN
FC Nomme U19
0 - 3
Trans Narva U19
JKN
51%
19%
30%
37 34 3 +1
30 Aug. 2022
LJK
Laanemaa U19
2 - 3
Trans Narva U19
JKN
32%
21%
48%
36 31 5 +1
23 Aug. 2022
KAL
Tallinna Kalev U19
0 - 6
Trans Narva U19
JKN
36%
19%
45%
35 25 10 +1