Parnahyba vs Caiçara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PIC
1 - 0
PAR
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
PIA
56%
25%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ALT
3 - 3
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 0
COR
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 1
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAI
2 - 1
COR
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 1
CAI
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 0
CAI
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 1
PIA
30%
24%
47%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
ALT
1 - 1
CAI
77%
15%
7%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |