Parma U19 vs SPAL U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
11º
2º
33
3º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
PAR
21%
20%
59%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
COM
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
REG
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 2
PAR
19%
19%
62%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
SPA
69%
18%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 1
PRO
57%
21%
23%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MOD
6 - 1
SPA
18%
19%
63%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
UDI
2 - 0
SPA
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 2
VEN
15%
19%
66%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
SPA
69%
18%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |