Campionato Primavera 1 round 3

Parma U19 vs Genoa U19 analysis

Parma U19 Genoa U19
33 ELO 44
-13.9% Tilt 2.3%
5726º General ELO ranking 6606º
208º Country ELO ranking 254º
ELO win probability
23.3%
Parma U19
24.9%
Draw
51.8%
Genoa U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
Parma U19
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
51.8%
Win probability
Genoa U19
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Parma U19
-18%
-7%
Genoa U19

ELO progression

Parma U19
Genoa U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Parma U19
Parma U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2012
PAR
Parma U19
0 - 1
Siena U19
SIE
61%
23%
16%
35 27 8 0
26 Aug. 2012
FIO
Fiorentina U19
3 - 2
Parma U19
PAR
64%
20%
16%
35 43 8 0
21 Apr. 2012
PAR
Parma U19
1 - 4
Juventus U19
JUV
28%
25%
47%
36 41 5 -1
14 Apr. 2012
SAM
Sampdoria U19
3 - 1
Parma U19
PAR
44%
25%
32%
38 36 2 -2
04 Apr. 2012
PAR
Parma U19
2 - 0
Novara U19
NOV
43%
25%
32%
37 37 0 +1

Matches

Genoa U19
Genoa U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2012
GEN
Genoa U19
2 - 0
Fiorentina U19
FIO
43%
25%
32%
42 43 1 0
25 Aug. 2012
GRO
Grosseto U19
2 - 4
Genoa U19
GEN
9%
19%
73%
41 16 25 +1
21 Apr. 2012
GEN
Genoa U19
4 - 0
Livorno U19
LIV
54%
23%
23%
40 36 4 +1
14 Apr. 2012
JUV
Juventus U19
0 - 1
Genoa U19
GEN
58%
22%
20%
39 41 2 +1
04 Apr. 2012
GEN
Genoa U19
2 - 0
Modena U19
MOD
75%
16%
9%
39 24 15 0