Parma vs Trento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.9%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.1%
3%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 1
RTV
31%
23%
46%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 0
PAR
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 3
SAS
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 5
ATL
10%
18%
71%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 4
TRE
12%
20%
68%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
TRE
1 - 0
CJA
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
TRE
24%
25%
52%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
TRE
2 - 1
CAM
60%
22%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
SDA
0 - 2
TRE
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +2 |