Parma vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
15%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
22.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
TER
1 - 1
PAR
61%
25%
14%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
PAR
1 - 1
PIS
49%
29%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
PAR
1 - 1
BAR
51%
30%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
ATL
1 - 0
PAR
69%
22%
10%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
PAR
0 - 0
COM
45%
31%
24%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 0
GEN
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
SAM
1 - 1
SPA
56%
27%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
SPA
2 - 2
LEC
62%
24%
14%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 1
BRE
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
MAT
0 - 2
SPA
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |