Parma vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
70%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
3 - 3
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 2
INT
10%
20%
70%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SPE
2 - 2
PAR
52%
24%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 2
UDI
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
VER
2 - 1
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
ROM
3 - 0
SHA
65%
19%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 0
GEN
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
1 - 2
ROM
26%
23%
51%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 2
ACM
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ROM
3 - 1
SPB
56%
21%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |