Parma vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
56.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2015 |
CAG
4 - 0
PAR
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
LAZ
4 - 0
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
PAL
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
EMP
2 - 2
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 0
PAR
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2015 |
NAP
1 - 1
DNI
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
NAP
3 - 0
ACM
57%
22%
21%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
EMP
4 - 2
NAP
20%
25%
55%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NAP
4 - 2
SAM
74%
16%
9%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
NAP
2 - 2
WOL
57%
22%
22%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |