Parma vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VER
3 - 2
PAR
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 1
SAS
56%
23%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 2
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 3
ATL
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAR
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
ACM
1 - 1
FCB
13%
19%
69%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ACM
1 - 0
UDI
61%
21%
18%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 2
ACM
50%
25%
26%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
ACM
41%
25%
34%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ACM
1 - 0
SAM
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |