Parma vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 0
FER
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
CRO
0 - 1
PAR
34%
26%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 2
USA
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
PRG
2 - 1
PAR
39%
27%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
FRA
0 - 1
LEC
10%
19%
71%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
LEC
2 - 3
RTV
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 0
POR
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 1
LEC
17%
25%
58%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
LEC
2 - 0
PIS
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |