Parma vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
INT
4%
17%
79%
|
69 | 92 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 3
SAS
27%
26%
48%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
PAR
4 - 2
TRE
87%
10%
3%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 1
RTV
31%
23%
46%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 0
PAR
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 1
LEC
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 1
LEC
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 1
VNZ
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
VNZ
1 - 0
LEC
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
EMP
2 - 1
LEC
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |