Parma vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 1
ROM
25%
25%
51%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FIO
3 - 0
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 1
CHI
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
JUV
4 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
4 - 1
GRO
69%
20%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
GEN
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 0
CAT
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LAZ
1 - 2
GEN
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 2
ATL
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GEN
4 - 3
NOC
85%
11%
4%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | +1 |