Parma vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 0
PAR
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 0
RSO
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
BOH
2 - 1
PAR
16%
24%
60%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 2
VAR
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 3
SLP
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
BOL
44%
29%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 0
ASC
63%
24%
14%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 2
UDI
27%
28%
45%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ATA
0 - 1
CHI
8%
19%
74%
|
81 | 9 | 72 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
CAG
0 - 0
CHI
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |