Parma vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
NAP
2 - 0
PAR
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
SAM
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
LAZ
2 - 1
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SAS
1 - 1
PAR
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
LAZ
20%
24%
57%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 2
ACM
18%
23%
59%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
BOL
83%
13%
5%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 0
VER
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
GEN
2 - 0
BOL
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 2
UDI
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |