PSG vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
RMA
1 - 0
PSG
75%
15%
10%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
REN
0 - 1
PSG
16%
22%
62%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PSG
4 - 1
ASS
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
PSG
0 - 0
RMA
24%
22%
54%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 2
PSG
17%
22%
61%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 1
MPL
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
TFC
3 - 3
AUX
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
LYO
3 - 0
TFC
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 2
ANG
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GAZ
2 - 2
TFC
25%
28%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |