noscript image

Ligue 1. Matchday 33

PSG Saint-Étienne
96 ELO 74
-14% Tilt -18%
General ELO ranking 142º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
79.1%
PSG
14.9%
Draw
6%
Saint-Étienne

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
PSG
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6%
Win probability
Saint-Étienne
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
PSG
-5%
-13%
Saint-Étienne

Basic stats

71
29
POS
17
7
SOT
13
3
COR
3
2
GF
2
3
GC
25
15
FRK
96
74
ELO
2.3
0.5
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

PSG
Their league position
Saint-Étienne
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
15º
39
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lille
70
78
26%
PSG
69
80
10%
Monaco
68
77
28%
Olympique Lyonnais
67
77
31%
Lens
53
60
33%
Olympique Marseille
52
60
28%
Stade Rennais
51
58
27%
Montpellier
47
55
33%
Metz
43
50
20%
Nice
10º
43
49
10º
20%
Stade de Reims
11º
41
47
12º
16%
Angers SCO
12º
41
47
11º
16%
Saint-Étienne
13º
39
45
13º
15%
Strasbourg
14º
37
44
14º
15%
Stade Brestois
15º
37
42
15º
18%
Girondins Bordeaux
16º
36
42
16º
19%
Lorient
17º
32
38
17º
28%
Nîmes
18º
31
35
18º
36%
Nantes
19º
28
34
19º
54%
Dijon FCO
20º
18
22
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
PSG
Saint-Étienne
Champion
77% 0%
Champions League
10% 0%
UCL qualifying
7% 0%
Europa League
6% 0%
Europa Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 99%
Relegation playoffs
0% 1%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

PSG
PSG
Saint-Étienne
ASS
Angers SCO
ANG
Stade Brestois
BRE
Lens
LEN
Metz
MET
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PSG
PSG
1%
X%
2%
ELO PSG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2021
PSG
PSG
0 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
53%
26%
21%
3706 3654 52 -26
10 Apr. 2021
STR
Strasbourg
1 - 4
PSG
PSG
17%
21%
61%
3698 1828 -1870 +3
07 Apr. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 3
PSG
PSG
50%
26%
24%
3668 3696 28 +35
03 Apr. 2021
PSG
PSG
0 - 1
Lille
LIL
79%
14%
7%
3678 2458 1220 -20
21 Mar. 2021
LYO
Olympique Lyonnais
2 - 4
PSG
PSG
36%
27%
37%
3667 2945 -722 +11

Matches

Saint-Étienne
Saint-Étienne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ASS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2021
ASS
Saint-Étienne
4 - 1
Girondins Bordeaux
GIR
47%
27%
26%
2097 2088 9 +17
04 Apr. 2021
NÎM
Nîmes
0 - 2
Saint-Étienne
ASS
33%
28%
39%
2086 1461 -625 +11
19 Mar. 2021
ASS
Saint-Étienne
0 - 4
Monaco
MON
37%
28%
35%
2103 2574 -471 -16
13 Mar. 2021
ANG
Angers SCO
0 - 1
Saint-Étienne
ASS
42%
28%
30%
2092 1901 -191 +11
03 Mar. 2021
ASS
Saint-Étienne
2 - 3
Lens
LEN
62%
21%
17%
2108 1554 554 -17