PSG vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
PSG
3 - 0
BRE
83%
11%
5%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
ASS
1 - 1
PSG
9%
15%
76%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PSG
4 - 0
STR
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LIL
0 - 0
PSG
17%
20%
63%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
PSG
2 - 0
LOR
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
DIJ
0 - 0
MAR
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 1
MPL
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ANG
2 - 1
MAR
31%
26%
44%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
REI
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
REN
2 - 1
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |