PSG vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
MET
1 - 2
PSG
6%
13%
80%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
PSG
2 - 1
LYO
63%
19%
18%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
BRU
1 - 1
PSG
21%
21%
57%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PSG
4 - 0
CLE
83%
12%
5%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
REI
0 - 2
PSG
7%
14%
79%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
MPL
3 - 3
GIR
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TRO
1 - 1
MPL
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MPL
2 - 0
ASS
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LIL
2 - 1
MPL
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
MPL
3 - 1
LOR
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |