PSG vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
PSG
2 - 0
MPL
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
MET
1 - 2
PSG
6%
13%
80%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
PSG
2 - 1
LYO
63%
19%
18%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
BRU
1 - 1
PSG
21%
21%
57%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PSG
4 - 0
CLE
83%
12%
5%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 1
MAC
26%
24%
49%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
MAC
6 - 1
WYC
93%
5%
1%
|
94 | 63 | 31 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 0
SOU
82%
12%
6%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
MAC
6 - 3
RBL
75%
15%
10%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LEI
0 - 1
MAC
17%
21%
62%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | +1 |