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Ligue 1. Matchday 35

PSG Lens
96 ELO 64
-11% Tilt 82%
General ELO ranking 398º
Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
57.7%
PSG
16.7%
Draw
25.6%
Lens

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
PSG
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
9-5
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
1%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
4.6%
5-3
2%
6-4
0.5%
7-5
0.1%
8-6
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
6%
4-3
3.2%
5-4
1%
6-5
0.2%
7-6
<0%
+1
18%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
4.2%
4-4
1.7%
5-5
0.4%
6-6
0.1%
7-7
<0%
0
16.7%
25.6%
Win probability
Lens
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
2.2%
4-5
0.7%
5-6
0.2%
6-7
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
PSG
-4%
+54%
Lens

Points and table prediction

PSG
Their league position
Lens
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
15º
53
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lille
70
78
25%
PSG
69
80
14%
Monaco
68
78
26%
Olympique Lyonnais
67
77
30%
Lens
53
60
28%
Olympique Marseille
52
60
28%
Stade Rennais
51
58
27%
Montpellier
47
55
33%
Metz
43
50
20%
Nice
10º
43
49
10º
20%
Stade de Reims
11º
41
47
12º
16%
Angers SCO
12º
41
47
11º
16%
Saint-Étienne
13º
39
45
13º
15%
Strasbourg
14º
37
44
14º
15%
Stade Brestois
15º
37
42
15º
17%
Girondins Bordeaux
16º
36
42
16º
19%
Lorient
17º
32
39
17º
27%
Nîmes
18º
31
35
18º
36%
Nantes
19º
28
34
19º
54%
Dijon FCO
20º
18
22
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
PSG
Lens
Champion
59% 0%
Champions League
14% 0%
UCL qualifying
14% 0%
Europa League
13% 0%
Europa Conference League
0% 28%
Mid-table
0% 72%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lens
LEN
PSG
PSG
Man. City
MAC
Lille
LIL
Nice
NIC
Chelsea
CHL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PSG
PSG
1%
X%
2%
ELO PSG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2021
PSG
PSG
3 - 2
Saint-Étienne
ASS
82%
12%
6%
3675 2114 1561 +1
13 Apr. 2021
PSG
PSG
0 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
53%
26%
21%
3706 3654 52 -26
10 Apr. 2021
STR
Strasbourg
1 - 4
PSG
PSG
17%
21%
61%
3698 1828 -1870 +3
07 Apr. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 3
PSG
PSG
50%
26%
24%
3668 3696 28 +35
03 Apr. 2021
PSG
PSG
0 - 1
Lille
LIL
79%
14%
7%
3678 2458 1220 -20

Matches

Lens
Lens
1%
X%
2%
ELO LEN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2021
BRE
Stade Brestois
1 - 1
Lens
LEN
51%
25%
23%
1601 1659 58 +1
11 Apr. 2021
LEN
Lens
4 - 1
Lorient
LOR
42%
28%
31%
1580 1801 -221 +21
03 Apr. 2021
LEN
Lens
1 - 1
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
18%
21%
60%
1572 2934 -1362 +8
21 Mar. 2021
STR
Strasbourg
1 - 2
Lens
LEN
53%
24%
22%
1557 1828 271 +14
14 Mar. 2021
LEN
Lens
2 - 2
Metz
MET
42%
28%
31%
1556 1798 -242 +1