Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
9-5
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
1%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
4.6%
5-3
2%
6-4
0.5%
7-5
0.1%
8-6
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
6%
4-3
3.2%
5-4
1%
6-5
0.2%
7-6
<0%
+1
18%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
4.2%
4-4
1.7%
5-5
0.4%
6-6
0.1%
7-7
<0%
0
16.7%
25.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
2.2%
4-5
0.7%
5-6
0.2%
6-7
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
15º
1º
53
3º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 78 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
1º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 78 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 77 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 60 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 60 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 58 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 55 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 50 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 49 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 47 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 47 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 45 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 44 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 42 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 42 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 39 |
17º
|
27% | |
|
18º
|
31 | 35 |
18º
|
36% | |
|
19º
|
28 | 34 |
19º
|
54% | |
|
20º
|
18 | 22 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 59% | 0% |
| Champions League | 14% | 0% |
| UCL qualifying | 14% | 0% |
| Europa League | 13% | 0% |
| Europa Conference League | 0% | 28% |
| Mid-table | 0% | 72% |
| Relegation playoffs | 0% | 0% |
| Relegation | 0% | 0% |
ELO progression
LEN
PSG
MAC
LIL
NIC
CHL
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO PSG | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PSG
3 - 2
ASS
82%
12%
6%
|
3675 | 2114 | 1561 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
PSG
0 - 1
BYM
53%
26%
21%
|
3706 | 3654 | 52 | -26 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
STR
1 - 4
PSG
17%
21%
61%
|
3698 | 1828 | -1870 | +3 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
BYM
2 - 3
PSG
50%
26%
24%
|
3668 | 3696 | 28 | +35 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
PSG
0 - 1
LIL
79%
14%
7%
|
3678 | 2458 | 1220 | -20 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO LEN | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 1
LEN
51%
25%
23%
|
1601 | 1659 | 58 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
LEN
4 - 1
LOR
42%
28%
31%
|
1580 | 1801 | -221 | +21 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 1
LYO
18%
21%
60%
|
1572 | 2934 | -1362 | +8 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
STR
1 - 2
LEN
53%
24%
22%
|
1557 | 1828 | 271 | +14 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
LEN
2 - 2
MET
42%
28%
31%
|
1556 | 1798 | -242 | +1 |