Q. Europa League PlayOffs Final
Global 6-0
PSG vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PSG
2 - 1
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
DIF
0 - 4
PSG
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
REN
1 - 1
PSG
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
PSG
0 - 1
LOR
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
PSG
3 - 0
BOC
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
DIF
5 - 0
KAE
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
DIF
0 - 4
PSG
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CSP
0 - 0
DIF
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
OLY
3 - 0
DIF
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
DIF
0 - 3
OLY
63%
21%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -2 |