PSG vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
IST
1 - 1
PSG
21%
29%
51%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
PSG
2 - 2
ASS
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
TFC
2 - 1
PSG
25%
30%
45%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
PSG
2 - 2
CAE
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
REN
2 - 1
PSG
41%
28%
32%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
ASV
0 - 0
CHL
26%
27%
47%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
CHL
2 - 1
SOU
71%
18%
11%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
CRY
0 - 2
CHL
15%
24%
61%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BIR
0 - 1
CHL
20%
25%
55%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
CHL
1 - 0
MUD
38%
26%
36%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |