PSG vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
8.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.6%
70.1%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
RBL
0 - 3
PSG
37%
23%
39%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 2
PSG
38%
22%
40%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
PSG
1 - 0
SOC
91%
7%
2%
|
89 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
PSG
0 - 0
LYO
66%
18%
17%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
PSG
1 - 0
ASS
81%
12%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
LYO
0 - 3
BYM
6%
12%
82%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
FCB
2 - 8
BYM
37%
21%
41%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
BYM
4 - 1
CHL
67%
18%
15%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
BYM
1 - 0
MAR
84%
11%
5%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
LEV
2 - 4
BYM
11%
16%
74%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |