Champions League . Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
PSG vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
62.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
PSG
1 - 0
MPL
69%
19%
12%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ASS
2 - 2
PSG
25%
25%
50%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PSG
2 - 1
ASN
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
PSG
1 - 1
VCF
55%
24%
21%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
REI
1 - 0
PSG
13%
21%
66%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 2
FCB
5%
13%
82%
|
97 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FCB
3 - 1
RAY
91%
7%
2%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
FCB
4 - 0
ACM
85%
10%
5%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FCB
2 - 0
DEP
92%
6%
2%
|
97 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
RMA
2 - 1
FCB
54%
20%
26%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | 0 |