Paris II vs Blanc Mesnil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
12º
11º
29
13º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
46.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUL
2 - 3
PAR
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
IVR
65%
20%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PSG
0 - 2
PAR
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
LMU
2 - 4
PAR
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
PSG
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Blanc Mesnil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
IVR
4 - 1
BLA
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 2
SAN
44%
25%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ESA
2 - 3
BLA
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 1
MAN
52%
25%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ESA
2 - 2
BLA
59%
21%
21%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |