Paris II vs Aubervilliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
12º
11º
44
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
46.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAR
21%
21%
57%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
MFC
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LMR
1 - 2
PAR
16%
19%
65%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
BLA
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUL
2 - 3
PAR
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MFC
3 - 3
AUB
28%
22%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AUB
1 - 1
QUE
7%
16%
77%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AUB
0 - 3
BLA
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AUB
2 - 0
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ESA
1 - 3
AUB
43%
22%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |