Parets vs Guineueta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
GUI
3 - 1
PAR
74%
16%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 3
MAN
20%
22%
58%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 1
TON
41%
24%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GIR
3 - 0
PAR
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 0
VIC
16%
22%
62%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Guineueta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
GUI
3 - 1
PAR
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
TON
0 - 1
GUI
27%
24%
49%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GUI
0 - 2
GIR
21%
22%
57%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
VIC
1 - 0
GUI
45%
25%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 1
MAT
49%
22%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |