USC Paredes vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
AMA
2 - 3
PAR
45%
29%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 0
TOR
27%
28%
45%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 2
MIR
58%
24%
18%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
BSC
0 - 2
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
PAR
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 3
VIL
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 1
VIL
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
TIR
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SMP
0 - 1
VIL
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
MAC
26%
22%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |