USC Paredes vs AD Sanjoanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
39.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
11º
8º
36
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 0
PAR
53%
26%
21%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 2
ANA
46%
29%
26%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FAF
0 - 0
PAR
30%
29%
41%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 1
PAR
30%
30%
40%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAN
57%
25%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 2
BEL
14%
22%
64%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
VAR
21%
28%
51%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 11 | 30 | 0 |