USC Paredes vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
45.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
12º
7º
34
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 4
PAR
55%
26%
20%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 3
AMA
20%
28%
52%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
REB
0 - 0
PAR
55%
26%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 1
VSC
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ADM
1 - 0
PAR
20%
23%
57%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | -2 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BMA
2 - 1
ADM
70%
19%
12%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ODO
1 - 3
BMA
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BMA
0 - 0
SAL
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BMA
2 - 0
ACD
83%
12%
6%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
BMA
22%
25%
54%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |