Paranoá vs Taguatinga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
72.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paranoá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
4 - 2
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 5
GAM
6%
13%
81%
|
26 | 59 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 1
SOB
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CEI
3 - 0
PAR
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 4
DOM
15%
20%
64%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Taguatinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
TAG
0 - 0
CEI
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SED
2 - 2
TAG
13%
18%
68%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 3
TAG
14%
19%
68%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
TAG
0 - 2
SOB
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
TAG
0 - 0
CAP
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |