Paranoá vs Sobradinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
55.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paranoá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CEI
3 - 0
PAR
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 4
DOM
15%
20%
64%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
SED
4 - 4
PAR
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 4
CAP
33%
23%
45%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LUZ
1 - 0
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
TAG
0 - 2
SOB
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SOB
2 - 1
SED
63%
19%
17%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
DOM
5 - 0
SOB
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SOB
1 - 3
GAM
13%
21%
66%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 0
SOB
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |