Paraná vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 1
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
GOI
0 - 3
PAR
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAL
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
POR
23%
27%
51%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 0
SAO
37%
27%
37%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
BOA
1 - 0
ICA
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
ICA
2 - 2
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
PPE
4 - 1
ICA
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
ICA
3 - 1
VIT
22%
27%
52%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +2 |