Paradou vs Olympique Akbou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
15º
7º
14
2º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 51 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 50 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 48 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 47 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 46 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 44 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 43 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 41 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 41 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 36 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 34 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 33 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 31 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 30 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 29 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
9.5% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
10.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 19.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paradou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 3
JSK
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ALG
1 - 1
PAR
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
CHL
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
USK
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
SET
2 - 1
PAR
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Akbou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
OAK
2 - 1
SAO
30%
29%
41%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
JSK
2 - 1
OAK
57%
26%
17%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
OAK
1 - 0
NCM
30%
28%
42%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
OAK
3 - 1
KEK
53%
24%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
CHE
3 - 2
OAK
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |