Paradou vs CS Constantine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
15º
4º
34
2º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 59 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 53 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 50 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 45 |
4º
|
49% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 42 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 38 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 36 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
14º
|
56.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 30 |
15º
|
79.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 23 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
3.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paradou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
OAK
1 - 2
PAR
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
JSK
2 - 1
PAR
33%
29%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
PAR
1 - 3
ALG
53%
27%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
CHL
2 - 0
PAR
43%
28%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
USM
1 - 1
PAR
46%
25%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CS Constantine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
CON
1 - 1
JSK
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
ALG
2 - 1
CON
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
CON
2 - 2
CHL
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
ESM
0 - 0
CON
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
OAK
1 - 0
CON
10%
15%
74%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | -2 |