Paracatu vs Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
GAM
17%
21%
63%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
LUZ
1 - 0
PAR
41%
25%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CEI
1 - 0
PAR
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 1
DOM
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
TAG
3 - 4
FOR
79%
15%
6%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 1
PAR
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
FOR
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 2
FOR
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 4
SOB
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |