Paracatu vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
55.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CDF
1 - 2
PAR
15%
19%
65%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
TAG
5%
12%
83%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SOB
1 - 1
PAR
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
19%
22%
59%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 2
CEI
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CEI
0 - 0
GAM
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 2
CEI
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CEI
1 - 1
PLA
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 5 | 41 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
CEI
16%
21%
63%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |