Paracatu vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
43.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
TAG
1 - 2
PAR
82%
13%
5%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 1
PAR
36%
25%
40%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SOB
2 - 2
PAR
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAN
48%
23%
30%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAR
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 4
SAN
66%
20%
13%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
GAM
1 - 0
BRA
51%
26%
23%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 3
BRA
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 3
SOB
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 2
BRA
16%
23%
61%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |