Brasiliense . Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Paracatu vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAR
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 1
LUZ
30%
27%
43%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +4 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAN
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CEI
1 - 1
PAR
46%
23%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
SAN
76%
17%
8%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
LUV
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 0
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
CDF
2 - 3
BRA
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 14 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LUV
1 - 0
BRA
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |