Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide Raiders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
43.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Para Hills Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
CAM
3 - 1
PAR
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 3
ADE
26%
23%
51%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
ADE
2 - 0
PAR
48%
23%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 0
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 0
NEM
26%
23%
52%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Adelaide Raiders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2020 |
ADE
1 - 2
ADE
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
CUM
1 - 1
ADE
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
ADE
1 - 0
ADE
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
NEM
1 - 1
ADE
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
ADE
2 - 0
ADO
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |