NK Papuk Orahovica vs NK Križevci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
72.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+94%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
7º
6º
64
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 75.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Papuk Orahovica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 2
PAP
32%
22%
46%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PAP
2 - 1
POD
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NKP
3 - 0
PAP
90%
7%
3%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PAP
1 - 2
POD
65%
18%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NDD
0 - 0
PAP
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
NK Križevci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NKK
6 - 0
NDD
57%
20%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 4
NKK
12%
17%
71%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NKK
3 - 1
NKS
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
POD
0 - 1
NKK
20%
21%
59%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NKK
3 - 0
RMS
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |