Pafos vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
PAP
1 - 0
ESK
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
PAP
1 - 2
ETH
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
ERM
1 - 2
PAP
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
PAP
2 - 0
ENO
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
NEA
1 - 2
PAP
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 0
PON
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 0
LUG
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
RAY
0 - 1
LUG
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 1
CAR
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
ALB
1 - 1
LUG
39%
29%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |