Q. Europa League PlayOffs Final
Global 3-1
PAOK vs Karpaty Lviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
ANO
1 - 0
PAO
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
APS
1 - 0
PAO
13%
24%
63%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
PAO
3 - 0
VIF
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
VIF
0 - 2
PAO
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
CSK
3 - 2
PAO
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Karpaty Lviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
KPT
2 - 1
ZOR
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
DYN
2 - 0
KPT
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
STP
1 - 3
KPT
40%
26%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
KPT
0 - 2
VOR
49%
27%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
KPT
2 - 0
STP
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |