Panama vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
41.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1938 |
PAN
0 - 11
CRI
51%
21%
28%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1938 |
PAN
2 - 4
COL
50%
22%
29%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1938 |
PAN
3 - 1
VEN
50%
21%
28%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1938 |
MEX
6 - 0
SLV
80%
12%
8%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1938 |
MEX
1 - 0
VEN
73%
15%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1938 |
MEX
3 - 1
COL
68%
17%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1937 |
MEX
5 - 1
USA
66%
17%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
MEX
7 - 3
USA
64%
18%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |